NATO | Protocollo Naacal

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Grey Zone
Naacal Protocol – Research Files
GR-003 Iran - UsaIsrael War
GR-004 Svalbard dossier
GR-005 Intelligence & Hybrid Warfar
GR-006 The Thucydides Trap
GR-007 The Keys to the world

Naval vessels operating in the GIUK Gap, one of NATO's most important maritime corridors for North Atlantic surveillance and strategic deterrence.

The Thucydides trap doesn't produce wars.

The Thucydides Trap Doesn't Produce Wars reveals how fear drives the construction of strategic infrastructure, from undersea cables to the GIUK Gap, shaping today's Grey Zones.

Adelio Debenedetti

Sep 34 min read

Advanced semiconductor manufacturing facility in Taiwan, highlighting the island's strategic role in global chip production and great-power competition.

The war nobody wants

The Thucydides Trap is no longer about inevitable war. Discover how U.S.-China competition is transforming technology, strategic corridors, and the Grey Zones of modern geopolitics.

Adelio Debenedetti

Aug 204 min read

Aerial view of Kyiv's critical infrastructure, illustrating how energy, transportation, and communication networks have become strategic targets in modern Grey Zone warfare.

Ukraine: the world's largest Grey Zone laboratory where hybrid warfare becomes doctrine

Ukraine has become the world's largest Grey Zone laboratory, where hybrid warfare, intelligence, cyber operations, and cognitive warfare are redefining modern conflict.

Adelio Debenedetti

Jul 304 min read

Lubyanka Building in Moscow, former KGB headquarters and symbol of Russian intelligence, security architecture, and Grey Zone strategy.

Peace as a Threat: Why Russian Security Services Depend on Permanent Tension

Why do intelligence services thrive during periods of tension? An analysis of Russian security architecture, the GIUK Gap, and the hidden logic of Grey Zone competition.

Adelio Debenedetti

Jul 165 min read

Lenin statue in Barentsburg representing the long-term Russian presence in the Arctic Svalbard archipelago

Inside the Strategic Ambiguity of the Svalbard Treaty

Far beyond the traditional political centers of Europe, a remote Arctic archipelago is quietly becoming one of the most strategically sensitive regions of the 21st century. Svalbard is no longer just a frozen frontier. It is a geopolitical grey zone where NATO, Russia, Arctic infrastructure, strategic corridors and silent competition increasingly converge beneath the surface of international politics. In my latest analysis, I explore: • the strategic ambiguity of the Svalba

Adelio Debenedetti

Jun 184 min read